7月市場(chǎng)或?qū)⒚媾R至少300萬(wàn)桶供應(yīng)缺口

據(jù)路透社6月4日?qǐng)?bào)道，俄羅斯國(guó)際文傳電訊社(Interfax)報(bào)道，俄羅斯能源部長(zhǎng)諾瓦克(Alexander Novak)周四表示，全球石油市場(chǎng)7月可能面臨每日300萬(wàn)至500萬(wàn)桶的短缺，不過，這取決于歐佩克+產(chǎn)油國(guó)能否達(dá)成協(xié)議。

歐佩克+同意在5月和6月減產(chǎn)近100億桶，以支撐全球油價(jià)。他們一直在討論6月以后是否繼續(xù)以同樣的規(guī)模削減產(chǎn)量。

諾瓦克在接受國(guó)際文傳電訊社采訪時(shí)表示，在全球需求急劇下降之后，市場(chǎng)一直在漸漸復(fù)蘇。4月份，全球石油日需求量減少2500 - 2800萬(wàn)桶，5月份減少了2100萬(wàn)桶。由于歐佩克+減產(chǎn)近1000萬(wàn)桶/天，加上其他產(chǎn)油國(guó)“機(jī)動(dòng)”減產(chǎn)350 - 400萬(wàn)桶/天，供需失衡已降至700萬(wàn)桶/天。

諾瓦克指出:“四月份的高庫(kù)存已經(jīng)大幅下降，市場(chǎng)也好轉(zhuǎn)了。我們正在見證需求的進(jìn)一步增長(zhǎng)，預(yù)計(jì)市場(chǎng)將在本月達(dá)到供需平衡。”

他還表示："考慮到需求增長(zhǎng)和減產(chǎn)協(xié)議，7月份市場(chǎng)將出現(xiàn)短缺。不過，供應(yīng)短缺的規(guī)模將取決于7月份的協(xié)議情況，可以確定的是，石油缺口將達(dá)到300萬(wàn)桶/天。預(yù)計(jì)美國(guó)不會(huì)就削減石油產(chǎn)量作出正式?jīng)Q定，莫斯科仍在與華盛頓就石油市場(chǎng)的情況進(jìn)行討論。”

王佳晶 摘譯自 路透社

原文如下：

Russia's Novak sees potential 3-5 million bpd oil market shortage in July

Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said on Thursday that the global oil market could face a shortage of 3-5 million barrels per day (bpd) in July, depending on a deal to be reached by OPEC+ producers, Interfax news agency reported.

The OPEC+ group of oil producers agreed to cut production by almost 10 billion bpd in May and June to support global oil prices. They have been discussing whether to continue the cuts beyond June at the same pace.

In an interview, published by Interfax, Novak said the market has been on a recovery path, following a steep decline in demand due to the coronavirus fallout.

Novak said the global oil demand was down by 25-28 million bpd in April and down by 21 million bpd in May.

Thanks to OPEC+ output cuts of almost 10 million bpd and “organic” declines from other producers of 3.5-4 mln bpd, the imbalance has declined to 7 million bpd, Novak told Interfax.

“The filling up of the storage, which was at a high pace in April, has significantly declined and the market got much better,” Novak is quoted as saying.

He also said that “we are witnessing” further growth in demand and expected the market to reach supply and demand balance this month.

“And already in July, taking into account the demand growth and the agreement (on oil output cuts), we will see a shortage on the market,” Novak said. “The size of the shortage will depend on the parameters of the deal in July, I can name the figures of 3-5 million bpd,” Novak said.

Novak added that he did not expect the United States to take a formal decision on oil production cuts and said Moscow remained in discussions with Washington regarding the situation in the oil market.